Tuesday, February 27, 2018

New Warnings on Risky “Self Storage” Gold & Silver IRAs

Published here: http://goldsilverworlds.com/investing/new-warnings-risky-self-storage-gold-silver-iras/

Bullion investors buy gold and silver as a matter of self-reliance. Physical metals aren’t dependent upon the promises of financial institutions, governments, or other third parties.

This lack of counterparty risk makes precious metals quite different from most conventional assets. There is no possibility of a default or mismanagement which renders them worthless. That is a lot more than can be said of securities such as stocks and bonds.

Recently a few firms promoting “self-storage” precious metals IRAs have been trying to exploit the self-reliance streak running through bullion investors in a manner that could cause significant harm.

These firms offer a scheme to circumvent IRS rules which require IRA metals be stored by a third party, and some people are biting. The desire to have possession and control of the metals appears to be outweighing good sense.

The warnings are piling up. Last week, the Industry Council on Tangible Assets issued the latest warning about storing IRA metals at home.

The trouble is rooted in the IRS requirement that assets in your retirement account be held by a third party.

Some firms have begun offering a dangerous work-around. They help investors create an LLC company which they claim will fill the role of the third party. The LLC buys and holds the metals, and the IRA holder manages the LLC.

IRS officials have already signaled that they see the formation of the LLC as a simple fiction to grant control over assets which are supposed to kept at arm’s length. ”Self-storage” IRA holders seem likely to find their accounts disqualified, with taxes and penalties due immediately (as an early distribution of the full account balance).

As one expert frames it; “you can own a bakery with your IRA, but you cannot be the baker.” Owning a business with your self-directed IRA is okay. Hiring yourself and paying a salary is a definite no-no. Likewise it is perfectly fine to buy investment real estate, but your IRA cannot purchase your personal residence.

IRA promoters are offering LLC or “checkbook” IRAs despite knowing the program has not been defended successfully in court. It certainly does not have the blessing of the IRS.

In fact, the IRS is explicitly warning people. Forbes reports the agency was asked about ads promoting these types of IRAs: “The IRS cannot comment on claims made by any particular IRA promoter, but the agency warns taxpayers to be wary of anyone claiming that gold held in your IRA can be stored at home or in a safety deposit box.”

It appears to be only a matter of time before the IRS starts nailing such account holders to the wall. If so, IRA account holders will be faced difficult choice; pay the tax and penalty or hire an attorney and try to defend the scheme in court.

If there is any certainty, it’s that the promoters behind this type of IRA will not be picking up these costs.

Anyone reading the fine print will find they disclaim responsibility, even though they are happy to collect a handsome fee for assisting investors with setup.

More than that, we’ve also noticed that the promoters of the “home storage” IRA scheme also tend to steer investors into rip-off “collectible” coins, especially Proof Gold Eagles and Proof Silver Eagles. These coins are eligible to be held in IRAs but give the dealer a huge profit margin at the expense of the buyer.

It’s telling that a few promoters of these risky “home storage” IRAs are also the bad actors when it comes to what products they promote. They aren’t really looking out for their customers.

There are plenty of great reasons to hold precious metals in an IRA, just be sure to do it right. Find a reputable trustee, such as New Direction IRA, and store the metal in a secure, audited vault that is not connected to the banking system and offers physically segregated accounts, such as Money Metals Depository.

Gold and silver bullion are a great way to reduce counterparty risk. The last thing investors want is to find the IRS is their counterparty!

Clint Siegner is a Director at Money Metals Exchange, the national precious metals company named 2015 “Dealer of the Year” in the United States by an independent global ratings group. A graduate of Linfield College in Oregon, Siegner puts his experience in business management along with his passion for personal liberty, limited government, and honest money into the development of Money Metals’ brand and reach. This includes writing extensively on the bullion markets and their intersection with policy and world affairs.

The post New Warnings on Risky “Self Storage” Gold & Silver IRAs appeared first on Gold Silver Worlds.

Monday, February 26, 2018

One Belt, One Road, One Direction for Precious Metals

Published here: http://goldsilverworlds.com/physical-market/one-belt-one-road-one-direction-precious-metals/

All great events hang by a hair. The man of ability takes advantage of everything and neglects nothing that can give him a chance of success; whilst the less able man sometimes loses everything by neglecting a single one of those chances.

~Napoleon Bonaparte

China’s launch several years ago of the One Belt, One Road Initiative is set to become the biggest commercial linking-system constructing project in world history. In the book David Morgan and I co-authored, Second Chance: How to Make and Keep Big Money from the Coming Gold and Silver Shock-Wave, we discuss the “New Silk Road” this way:

…the plan, described as an “economic partnership map with multiple rings interconnected with one another” envisions an economic land belt and a maritime road linking Beijing through Europe to the Mediterranean. This modern equivalent of the old Silk Road would weave together the economies of over half the world’s population via transit corridors of highways, high-speed rail, fiber-optic cables, pipelines, and air and seaport hubs.

OBOR – also known as the Belt and Road Initiative – is drawing supplies of commodities to it across the board, like iron filings to a magnet. Concrete, iron, zinc, copper… silver and gold. Silver, as a critical ingredient in the electronics and communication build-out; gold (+ silver) because of rising incomes for China’s middle class – larger than the population of the U.S. – which will continue the historical habit adding to its precious metal holdings.

An excellent interactive map showing the primary pathways and effects of this mammoth construction project can be found at the South China Morning Post. Elements:

  • During a recent two-day visit to Beijing by U.K. Chancellor Philip Hammond, it was announced that former Prime Minister David Cameron would be taking a lead role in a US$1 billion private equity infrastructure fund directly investing in the One Belt One Road (OBOR) initiative. ~Tama Churchouse
  • HSBC has estimated that the expansive Belt and Road program will generate no less than an additional, game-changing US$2.5 trillion worth of new trade a year.
  • It is important to remember that the “belt” in BRI is a series of corridors connecting Eastern China with oil-gas rich regions in Central Asia and the Middle East. The high-speed rail networks, or new “Silk Roads”, will simply traverse regions filled with, what else, un-mined gold. ~Pepe Escobar
  • An almost unnoticed (when in the West, made light of) corollary is China’s proposed “Latin Belt and Road” program, involving Brazil, Argentina and Chile. China’s Foreign Minister says, “It follows the principle of achieving shared growth through discussion and collaboration. It is nothing like a zero-sum game.” ~Asia Times

The meaning for gold and silver?

When most Western analysts tout the virtues of precious metals’ ownership, they focus on what Frank Holmes refers to as the “Fear Trade.” They say you should (and we agree) own gold and silver as “insurance” against rising inflation, which by the year (daily in Venezuela and Zimbabwe) reduces the purchasing power of David Morgan’s famously termed “paper promises.” These highly-liquid metals can be turned into fiat paper virtually anywhere in the world.

Silk Road Gold Demand (Courtesy goldchartsrus.com)

Holmes also refers to the “Love Trade”, a demand factor just as important and enduring. When people’s disposable income rises, they purchase discretionary items – things not otherwise critical beyond the basics of food and shelter. This behavior, especially by Indians and Chinese (“Chindians”) has historically been a habit; almost an obsession. Graceland Updates Editor, Stewart Thomson describes the OBOR context, saying:

Gold is headed back towards slow, relentless appreciation against fiat, but it won’t be as slow as you might think… because of the exponential mathematical relationship between Indian wage increases and gold demand. The road to $15,000 will be built with one belt, one road, one price-advance brick at a time.

As citizens industrialize, they play catch up with everyone else. Because there are almost 8 times more Chindians than Americans, it’s a super-sized version of what took place in the 1880s in America. (Given) that the Chinese are the world’s biggest gamblers, and Indians are maniacally obsessed with owning all the gold there ever was, is, and will be, the bull era promises to be incredibly exciting.

“Technical proof”?

One of most overlooked tools in a technical traders trading box is the relationship between gold and global currencies. On major exchanges it’s most frequently quoted in U.S. dollars, but in a given country, gold demand is expressed in local money. When we see gold advancing in dollars, that’s important. When making new highs in other currencies, it becomes a bell-weather signal in its own right.

Gold vs. Emerging Market Currencies, courtesy allstarcharts.com

The blockchain-gold-silver nexus – another element to the equation.

Over the last year, I have written in this space – as well as in 2018 issues of The Prospector News and The Morgan Report – how the blockchain revolution will affect precious metals’ demand and ownership. Kevin Vecmanis, in an essay titled “Gold and Blockchain”, ties these golden threads together, commenting:

…Gold has found itself in the blind spot of investors almost seven years after making a nominal all-time high. Quietly, beneath everyone’s nose, gold is undergoing a tectonic shift. On every time frame – weekly, monthly, quarterly, and yearly – the trend in gold has shifted upwards. Gold smashed historical quarterly volumes the last two quarters in a row by a significant margin.

While western investors are enamored with the stock markets, there are two billion people in the east that view gold differently and are gladly taking it off our hands at lower prices. Their economic influence is rising. Their economies are in desperate need of transactional efficiencies that the blockchain offers. A rising standard of living in the east directly equates to a rising base demand level for gold.

This year right out of the box, precious and base metals, as well as shares of the better miners who produce them have been strong, a trend set to continue. Information Risk is being replaced by Price Risk.

Don’t become a Lookie Lou who wonders later this year why you didn’t act while metals were “affordable” and available. Don’t become “the man (or woman) of ability” Napoleon describes, who misses “a chance of success” by neglecting to act on the bullish metals’ signals Mr. Market is sending your way.

David Smith is Senior Analyst for TheMorganReport.com and a regular contributor to MoneyMetals.com. For the past 15 years, he has investigated precious metals’ mines and exploration sites in Argentina, Chile, Mexico, Bolivia, China, Canada, and the U.S. He shares his resource sector findings with readers, the media, and North American investment conference attendees.

The post One Belt, One Road, One Direction for Precious Metals appeared first on Gold Silver Worlds.

Thursday, February 22, 2018

5 Big Drivers of Higher Inflation Rates Ahead

Published here: http://goldsilverworlds.com/economy/5-big-drivers-higher-inflation-rates-ahead/

Investors got lulled into a state of inflation complacency. Persistently low official inflation rates in recent years depressed bond yields along with risk premiums on all financial assets.

That’s changing in 2018. Five drivers of higher inflation rates are now starting to kick in.

Inflation Driver #1: Rising CPI

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a notoriously flawed measure of inflation. It tends to understate real-world price increases. Nevertheless, CPI is the most widely followed measure of inflation. When it moves up, so do inflation expectations by investors.

On February 13th, the Labor Department released stronger than expected CPI numbers. Prices rose a robust 0.5% in January, with headline CPI coming in at 2.1% annualized (against expectations of 1.9%).

In response to the inflationary tailwinds, precious metals and natural resource stocks rallied strongly, while the struggling U.S. bond market took another hit.

Inflation Driver #2: Rising Interest Rates

Since peaking in mid-2016, the bond market has been stair-stepping lower (meaning yields are moving higher). In February, key technical levels were breached as 30-year Treasury yields surged above 3%. Some analysts are now calling a new secular rise in interest rates to be underway after more than three decades of generally falling rates.

The last big surge in interest rates started in the mid 1970s and coincided with relentless “stagflation” and soaring precious metals prices. It wasn’t until interest rates hit double digit levels in the early 1980s that inflation was finally quelled, and gold and silver markets tamed.

Rising nominal interest rates are bullish for inflationary assets such as precious metals so long as interest rates are following the lead of inflation rates. Only when interest rates get out ahead of inflation and turn positive in real terms are rising rates bearish.

The Federal Reserve will face tremendous political pressure to keep its benchmark rate accommodative and also keep boatloads of bonds on its balance sheet in order to suppress long-term rates.

Inflation Driver #3: Trumpian Politics

Donald Trump has tied the success of his presidency to the level of the stock market like no other president has before. It started the very day after election night 2016, when markets experienced a dramatic reversal higher…and never looked back.

Tax cuts, de-regulation, and plans for big infrastructure spending have helped stimulate the economy and equity markets. President Trump touted the stock market during his 2018 State of the Union address. But shortly thereafter the market got hit with heavy selling as Trump’s new handpicked Fed chairman took over at the central bank.

You can bet Jerome Powell will feel the heat from the White House if his policies hurt the stock market. The path of least political resistance is keep inflating – especially given the government’s enormous and growing debt load.

Inflation Driver #4: Rising Deficits

Trumponomics means greater economic stimulus….and larger budget deficits. The fiscal year ahead is now projected to deliver a funding gap of nearly $1 trillion (with future deficits expected to exceed $1 trillion).

These new trillions in spending will just get charged to the national credit card. It currently has a balance of $21 trillion (not including tens of trillions of dollars more in off the book unfunded liabilities).

All this new debt in a period of relative economic strength is setting up for a disaster when the economy eventually turns down and the deficits spike to unimaginable new highs. The Fed can keep printing the dollars needed to keep the government solvent. But at some point, the world may lose confidence in the devaluing currency in which all these federal IOUs are denominated.

The gathering debt crisis virtually ensures there will be a dollar crisis – which means there will be a massive inflation spike to “pay” for the government’s otherwise unpayable debts.

Inflation Driver #5: Rising Commodity Cycle

Commodity markets are cyclical in nature. When prices for a commodity are low, production falls. As new supplies diminish, the market tightens, and prices move higher. The higher prices incentivize producers to invest in production capacity and increase output. Eventually, the market becomes oversupplied, prices fall, and the cycle starts all over again.

Where are we in the commodity cycle now? Most likely in the early stages of a major upswing. Precious metals, base metals, and crude oil have all moved up off their most recent respective cycle lows. Agricultural commodities have lagged but are gaining some upside momentum so far in 2018.

The commodity markets slump from 2011-2016 caused investment in mining, drilling, and exploration to dry up. According to the International Energy Agency, new oil discoveries by 2016 sunk to their lowest number in decades. Meanwhile, gold, silver, and copper mines got “high graded” – leaving the most difficult and most expensive to process ore for future mining efforts that will only be viable with much higher prices.

A position in physical gold and silver should be viewed as a core long-term holding. However, there are some times in the commodity cycle that are more favorable than others for buying.

Right now, the cycle appears set to pressure metals prices higher. How much higher is unknowable. If renewed inflation fears drive investors into gold and silver markets for safety and later, speculation, prices could easily exceed the 2011 cycle highs by significant margins.

 Stefan Gleason is President of Money Metals Exchange, the national precious metals company named 2015 “Dealer of the Year” in the United States by an independent global ratings group. A graduate of the University of Florida, Gleason is a seasoned business leader, investor, political strategist, and grassroots activist. Gleason has frequently appeared on national television networks such as CNN, FoxNews, and CNBC, and his writings have appeared in hundreds of publications such as the Wall Street Journal, Detroit News, Washington Times, and National Review.

The post 5 Big Drivers of Higher Inflation Rates Ahead appeared first on Gold Silver Worlds.

Wednesday, February 7, 2018

Ethereum Price Forecast: ETH Investors Find the Silver Lining They Need

Published here: https://www.profitconfidential.com/cryptocurrency/ethereum/eth-price-forecast-investors-find-silver-lining/

Ethereum News Update
Blockchain has "the potential to enhance economic efficiency, mitigate centralized systemic risk, defend against fraudulent activity and improve data quality and governance." (Source: "There'd Be No DLT Without Bitcoin, Says CFTC Chief," CoinDesk, February 6, 2018.)

This little quote sent Ethereum prices soaring on Monday.

Oddly, it came from CFTC Chairman J. Christopher Giancarlo, who made the comments while addressing the U.S. Senate.

The post Ethereum Price Forecast: ETH Investors Find the Silver Lining They Need appeared first on Profit Confidential.